Imveliso ye-Scrap kwi-EU iyancipha ngokuhambelana nokuhla kwemithamo yemveliso yentsimbi
Amaxabiso e-scrap ehlabathi awazange abonise indlela ecacileyo ukususela ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba. Kwezinye iimarike, amaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza aqhubeka ehla ngaphandle kwenkxaso evela kubathengi abakhulu, kodwa iTurkey ne-United States yabona ukunyuka okuncinci.
Amaxabiso e-scrap eTurkey (i-HMS 1 & 2 80: 20) inyuke nge-1.6% - ukuya kwi-$ 359-370 ngetoni ye-CFR ukususela ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba. Ngexesha elifanayo, amaxabiso e-scrap kwiimarike zaseTurkey awela nge-5.9% ngo-Agasti kunye ne-0.8% ngoJulayi. Ukunyuka kokugqibela kweengcaphuno kubonwe ngoJuni - nge-2.6%, emva kokuhla kwexesha elide ukususela ekuqaleni konyaka.
Ukubuyiswa okuncinci kumaxabiso alahliweyo eTurkey ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba kuyisiphumo semfuno ephuculweyo yeemveliso zetsimbi eziveliswe ekhaya ezivela kubathengi baseYurophu, kunye nokuphuculwa kwexesha elifutshane kwimarike yensimbi eChina. Ngokukodwa, amaxabiso eebhilidi zaseTshayina anyuke nge-30-35 yeedola ngetoni, kodwa ngokukhawuleza aphinda awela. Ukongeza, iTurkey kulindeleke ukuba iqalise isikimu sayo semali mboleko yezindlu esele ilindelwe yinzala ephantsi, esiza kunceda ukubuyisela imfuno yentsimbi yokwakha kunye nokuphucula umbono woshishino lwentsimbi.
Imarike ye-scrap yaseTurkey yabona ukunyuka kwexabiso elikhulu kwiveki yokuqala kaSeptemba, kodwa imeko iye yazinza. Ababoneleli bempahla ekrwada babonisa ukuba imfuno iye yacotha kwakhona, kodwa unikezelo lwamaxabiso alufane lwehle njengoko oku kungenakwenzeka ngenxa yokuqokelela okubuthathaka kunye nokunyuka kweendleko zokuphatha idokhi.
Nangona imfuno ye-scrap yaseTurkey ibonakala, uninzi lwabathathi-nxaxheba kwimarike abalindelanga okunye ukunyuka okuphawulekayo kwamaxabiso alahliweyo, ngenxa yokuhla okungaphezulu kweebhilidi ezithunyelwa ngaphandle, kunye nokuncipha kwe-rebar kunye ne-hot-rolled steel futures e-China. Ukucuthwa kwenzala ye-US Federal Reserve kunokuzisa ithemba elithile kwimarike, kodwa ukungaqiniseki e-China kuya kuqhubeka kubunzima kwimarike.
“Ukusetyenziswa kwentsimbi kuyehla kwimarike yasekhaya yaseTurkey, ngokuhla nge-18.9% y/y ngoJulayi. Imveliso yentsimbi ixhaswa kukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle, kwaye kukho amathuba okuba ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kunokwanda xa kujongwa uphando oluchasene nokulahlwa kwe-EU ngokuchasene nokungeniswa ngaphandle kweekhoyili ezishushu zisuka eYiphutha, eIndiya, eJapan naseVietnam. Silindele ukuba imfuno yenyanga ye-scrap eTurkey ihlale ngaphakathi kwenani eliphakathi elirekhodiweyo kwiinyanga ezi-7 ezidlulileyo kude kube sekupheleni konyaka, utshilo u-Andriy Glushchenko, umhlalutyi weZiko le-GMK.
Kwiimarike zaseYurophu, amaxabiso e-scrap awela phakathi kwe-30 ka-Agasti kunye ne-19 Septemba 2024. Ngokukodwa, eJamani, iingcaphuno ze-scrap (i-E3 Demolition Scrap) yehla ngo-5.6% - ukuya kwi-320-340 / t Ex-Works, nase-Italy ( I-E8 Light New Scrap) - nge-2.7%, ukuya kwi-€320-360 / t Ex-Works.
Imarike iyonke ayilunganga. Abavelisi bensimbi bendawo baqalisa ngokuthe ngcembe umsebenzi emva kwekhefu elide lasehlotyeni. Ukuhla kwamaxabiso kubangelwa ikakhulu kwiimfuno ezibuthathaka zentsimbi.
Abanye abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike babonisa ukuba amaxabiso e-scrap asondele ekuphumeni, njengoko iinkampani ezilahlayo zijongene nokunqongophala kwezinto ezibonakalayo kunye nokwehla kwamanqanaba oluhlu. Nangona kunjalo, ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuhla kwemveliso yensimbi ekuphenduleni iindleko eziphezulu zamandla kunye nomthamo ophantsi womyalelo wokulinganisa imarike ye-scrap.
Ababoneleli bakholelwa ukuba amaxabiso alahliweyo aseYurophu aya kuzinza kwixesha elizayo elingekude kwaye ayeke ukuhla, ukugcina amanqanaba angoku ngo-Okthobha. Uqikelelo lusekwe ekwehleni okubonakalayo kokuqokelelwa kwezinto ezilahliweyo ngo-Agasti nangoSeptemba.
Kwimarike yaseNyakatho yaseMelika, amaxabiso e-scrap anyukile nge-1.9% - ukuya kwi-344 ye-$ / t Ex-Works ukususela ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba. Ngaphandle kokunyuka okuncinci kokubonelela, isimo sengqondo esipheleleyo sibi. Njengoko iincwadi zokuodola zabenzi bentsimbi base-US zibuthathaka, ezinye ii-mill kulindeleke ukuba zingasebenzi umthamo othile ngoSeptemba nango-Okthobha. Ukusukela ekuqaleni kwenyanga, ukukhula kwamaxabiso eepleyiti eziqengqelekayo kushushu kuye kwashukuma kwaye akukwazi ukuxhasa imarike ye-scrap.
E-China (i-Heavy Scrap), amaxabiso e-scrap ehle nge-0.3% - ukuya kwi-$ 336.98 ngetoni ngeli xesha. Kubekho ukwehla okukhulu ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba, kodwa amaxabiso aye aphinda achacha ukusukela ngoko. Ukukhula okuthile kwiikowuteshini kubonisa ukuphucuka kwemeko kwiimarike zentsimbi kunye nokubonelelwa okulinganiselweyo kwezinto ezilahliweyo. Okwangoku, ukunikezelwa kwexabiso kulawulwa kubukho bezinto eziluhlaza kwimarike. Ababoneleli kufuneka balungelelanise ukubonelela ukugcina amanqanaba exabiso kumanqanaba amkelekileyo phakathi kweemeko eziguquguqukayo zemarike yentsimbi.
Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-22-2024
