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Shiinuhu wuxuu sii wadaa inuu kordhiyo dhoofinta birta ee H1 2024

Isticmaalka gudaha oo liidata awgeed, birta-sameeyayaasha maxaliga ahi waxay ku toosiyaan wax-soo-saarka suuqyada dhoofinta ee aan la ilaalin

Qaybtii hore ee 2024-kii, shirkadaha Shiinaha ee birta sameeya waxay si aad ah u kordhiyeen dhoofinta birta 24% marka la barbar dhigo Janaayo-June 2023 (ilaa 53.4 milyan tan). Soosaarayaasha maxalliga ah ayaa isku dayaya in ay suuqyo u helaan wax soo saarkooda, iyaga oo la ildaran baahida gudaha oo yar iyo hoos u dhaca faa'iidada. Isla mar ahaantaana, shirkadaha Shiinaha ayaa caqabado kala kulmaya suuqyada dhoofinta sababtoo ah soo bandhigida tillaabooyin ilaalin ah oo loogu talagalay in lagu xakameeyo soo dejinta Shiinaha. Arrimahani waxay abuuraan jawi adag horumarinta warshadaha birta ee Shiinaha, taas oo u baahan inay la qabsato xaqiiqooyinka cusub ee gudaha iyo caalamkaba.

Korodhka fiiqan ee dhoofinta birta ee Shiinaha waxay bilaabatay 2021, markii maamulada maxalliga ah ay kor u qaadeen taageerada warshadaha birta iyagoo ka jawaabaya masiibada COVID-19. 2021-2022, dhoofinta waxaa lagu dayactiray 66-67 milyan oo tan sanadkii, taas oo ay ugu wacan tahay baahida gudaha ee deggan ee qaybta dhismaha. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, 2023, dhismaha dalka ayaa si weyn hoos ugu dhacay, isticmaalka birta ayaa si aad ah hoos ugu dhacay, taas oo keentay kororka dhoofinta in ka badan 34% y/y - ilaa 90.3 milyan oo tan.

Khubaradu waxay aaminsan yihiin in 2024, shixnadaha birta ee Shiinaha ee dibadda ay mar kale kori doonaan ugu yaraan 27% y/y, taas oo ka badan rikoorka 110 milyan oo tan ee la arkay 2015.

Laga bilaabo Abriil 2024, sida laga soo xigtay Global Energy Monitor, awoodda wax-soo-saarka birta ee Shiinaha waxaa lagu qiyaasay 1.074 bilyan sannadkii, marka la barbar dhigo 1.112 bilyan oo tan bishii Maarso 2023. Isla mar ahaantaana, qeybtii hore ee sanadka, wax soo saarka birta ee Dalka ayaa hoos u dhacay 1.1% y/y – ilaa 530.57 milyan oo tan. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, heerka hoos u dhaca awoodaha jira iyo wax soo saarka birta weli kama badin heerka hoos u dhaca isticmaalka muuqda, kaasoo hoos u dhacay 3.3% y/y muddo 6 bilood ah ilaa 480.79 milyan oo tan.

In kasta oo ay daciifto baahida gudaha, biraha Shiinaha ayaan ku degdegin inay yareeyaan awoodda wax soo saarka, taas oo keenta dhoofinta xad-dhaafka ah iyo hoos u dhaca qiimaha birta. Tani, marka loo eego, waxay dhibaato weyn ku abuurtaa birta-sameeyayaasha dalal badan, oo ay ku jiraan Midowga Yurub, halkaas oo 1.39 milyan oo tan oo bir ah laga dhoofiyay Shiinaha shantii bilood ee ugu horreysay 2024 oo keliya (-10.3% y/y). In kasta oo tiradaasi hoos u dhacday sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya, badeecadaha Shiinaha ayaa wali soo galaya suuqa EU-da tiro badan, iyaga oo ka gudbaya kootada hadda jirta iyo xayiraadaha iyada oo loo marayo suuqyada Masar, Hindiya, Japan iyo Vietnam, kuwaas oo si weyn u kordhiyay soo dejinta badeecadaha khuseeya muddooyinkan dambe.

"Shirkadaha birta ee Shiinaha waxay awoodi karaan inay ku shaqeeyaan khasaare muddo ah si aysan u jarin wax soo saarka. Waxay raadinayaan siyaabo ay u suuq geeyaan alaabtooda. Rajada laga qabo in biro badan lagu isticmaalo Shiinaha ma aysan hirgelin, maadaama aan la soo saarin tallaabooyin wax ku ool ah oo lagu taageerayo dhismaha. Natiijo ahaan, waxaan aragnaa in badan oo bir ah oo laga keenay Shiinaha oo loo raro suuqyo shisheeye," ayuu yiri Andriy Glushchenko, falanqeeye xarunta GMK.

Dalal aad u tiro badan oo wajahaya qulqulka alaabada laga soo dejiyo Shiinaha ayaa isku dayaya in ay ilaaliyaan wax soo saarka gudaha iyaga oo adeegsanaya xayiraado kala duwan. Tirada baaritaannada ka hortagga qashin-qubka adduunka ayaa kor u kacday min shan sannadkii 2023, kuwaas oo saddex ka mid ah ay ku lug lahaayeen badeecooyinka Shiinaha, ilaa 14 ayaa la bilaabay 2024 (bilowgii Luulyo), toban ka mid ah waxaa ku lug lahaa Shiinaha. Tiradan ayaa weli hooseysa marka loo eego 39 kiis ee 2015 iyo 2016, waa markii la aasaasay Madasha Caalamiga ah ee Awood-dhaafka ah ee Biraha (GFSEC) iyada oo ay kor u kacday dhoofinta Shiinaha.

Agoosto 8, 2024, Komishanka Yurub wuxuu ku dhawaaqay bilawga baaritaanka ka hortagga qashin-qubka ee soo dejinta noocyo gaar ah oo badeecooyin bir ah oo kulul ka yimid Masar, India, Japan iyo Vietnam.

Iyada oo ay sii kordhayaan cadaadiska suuqyada caalamiga ah sababtoo ah dhoofinta xad-dhaafka ah ee birta Shiinaha iyo kordhinta tillaabooyinka ilaalinta ee dalalka kale, Shiinaha ayaa ku qasban inuu raadiyo habab cusub oo lagu dejiyo xaaladda. Sii wadida balaadhinta suuqyada dhoofinta iyada oo aan xisaabta lagu darin tartanka caalamiga ah waxay horseedi kartaa sii kordhinta isku dhacyada iyo xannibaadaha cusub. Mustaqbalka fog, tani waxay saameyn xun ku yeelan kartaa warshadaha birta ee Shiinaha, taas oo xoojinaysa baahida loo qabo in la helo istiraatiijiyad horumarineed oo dheellitiran iyo iskaashi heer caalami ah.


Waqtiga boostada: Agoosto-15-2024